Determining the Mathematical Probability of Getting Pooped On By Pigeons in NYC

Peter Olofsson, Ph.D is a Professor and Chair of Mathematics at Trinity University, and author of two
probability textbooks that are used throughout the world.

Olofsson was recently asked to determine the likelihood of being pooped on by a pigeon in the City, and comes up with a very detailed number.

Hopes&Fears asked mathematician, probability expert, author, Ph.D Peter Olofsson to spend hours of his time devising a formula for the likelihood of getting pooped on by a pigeon in New York City. Miraculously, he humored us.

Read through the writeup to see his proof of concept and calculations, then scroll to the bottom of the page for the surprisingly high answer!

Matt Coneybeare

Matt Coneybeare

Editor in Chief

Matt enjoys exploring the City's food scene with his Wife and the outdoors with their dog. He is an avid marathon runner, and spends most of his time eating, running, and working on cool stuff.

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